Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.417865 3.793954 4.201833 4.678291 5.221137 5.822157 6.540413
2025-06-01 2.831864 3.325044 3.897420 4.615359 5.498161 6.556420 7.933369
2025-06-08 2.474342 3.025248 3.696965 4.585306 5.742800 7.218750 9.273934
2025-06-15 2.296898 2.904401 3.676408 4.744492 6.207872 8.178478 11.095613
2025-06-22 2.093029 2.718969 3.541412 4.722056 6.408533 8.786504 12.496815
2025-06-29 1.918308 2.550219 3.404725 4.671479 6.548743 9.306905 13.821248
2025-07-06 1.712899 2.319154 3.157927 4.433883 6.382060 9.342755 14.385540
2025-07-13 1.614238 2.227819 3.097397 4.456965 6.600262 9.978920 15.991036
2025-07-20 1.545380 2.172321 3.081668 4.541808 6.917082 10.800055 18.021064
2025-07-27 1.487514 2.127425 3.076141 4.638676 7.258505 11.695493 20.313866
2025-08-03 1.426999 2.073316 3.050957 4.699351 7.542094 12.519797 22.598965
2025-08-10 1.364890 2.011869 3.008703 4.726307 7.767216 13.261697 24.837546
2025-08-17 1.270203 1.895122 2.873040 4.589357 7.697013 13.466301 26.049783
2025-08-24 1.200743 1.814044 2.789346 4.534232 7.768989 13.948996 27.938117
2025-08-31 1.142709 1.747526 2.724571 4.505851 7.886060 14.531656 30.149964
2025-09-07 1.123258 1.742560 2.761729 4.661895 8.369896 15.916902 34.488407
2025-09-14 1.074137 1.684978 2.704836 4.639957 8.500423 16.577774 37.206780
2025-09-21 1.024315 1.623226 2.636484 4.590438 8.569094 17.111595 39.709321
2025-09-28 0.949094 1.514091 2.478334 4.357758 8.237084 16.711525 39.667948
2025-10-05 0.918618 1.480724 2.453117 4.380365 8.444343 17.568217 43.239467
2025-10-12 0.898984 1.465100 2.458668 4.463457 8.789545 18.795162 48.149313
2025-10-19 0.881998 1.453105 2.469855 4.558318 9.170369 20.163427 53.827757
2025-10-26 0.861067 1.432806 2.464133 4.617731 9.477057 21.391643 59.397900